INDColts
0-1
18
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
015
MINVikings
0-1
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
0
7
11
18
Vikings
6
3
6
0
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
323
299
Total Plays
64
62
Yards / Play
5.0
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.24
Passing Yards
296
119
Comp/Att
26/42(62%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.59
Rushing Yards
27
180
Rush Attempts
20
35
Yards / Rush
1.4
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
16
Passing 1st downs
15
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
40%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-7.38
-5.12
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-15
-11
Sack EPA
-4.21
-8.21
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
45
--
Penalty EPA
-2.55
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
12
Yards / Game
15
8
Passing Yards / Game
20
28
Rushing Yards / Game
31
2
EPA
EPA / Play
4
5
EPA / Pass
2
7
EPA / Rush
23
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
7
Interceptions / Game
6
21
Fumbles / Game
1
3
Turnover EPA / Game
31
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
4
4th Down Efficiency
4
4
RZ Efficiency
1
4
Vikings Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
7
Yards / Game
17
11
Passing Yards / Game
11
3
Rushing Yards / Game
4
25
EPA
EPA / Play
27
21
EPA / Pass
26
9
EPA / Rush
15
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
29
Interceptions / Game
23
13
Fumbles / Game
23
8
Turnover EPA / Game
5
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
31
4th Down Efficiency
15
16
RZ Efficiency
28
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U