WASCommanders
1-4
13
TBD
Soldier Field
42°F
12 mph
10
CHIBears
1-3
TBD
Soldier Field
42°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
7
0
3
13
Bears
0
1
0
3
4
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
311
160
Total Plays
70
54
Yards / Play
4.4
3.0
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.27
Passing Yards
93
34
Comp/Att
8/22(36%)
10/22(45%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
1.5
EPA / Pass
-0.47
-0.87
Rushing Yards
218
126
Rush Attempts
47
28
Yards / Rush
4.6
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
9
Passing 1st downs
7
3
Rushing 1st downs
10
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
6
1
3rd Down Attempts
18
13
Red Zone %
33%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.93
-2.49
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-2
-31
Sack EPA
-0.85
-5.50
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
39
65
Penalty EPA
-3.03
-5.54
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
12
Yards / Game
30
19
Passing Yards / Game
24
4
Rushing Yards / Game
20
24
EPA
EPA / Play
29
3
EPA / Pass
24
6
EPA / Rush
27
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
1
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
7
6
Turnover EPA / Game
16
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
1
4th Down Efficiency
27
3
RZ Efficiency
17
5
Bears Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
4
Yards / Game
32
3
Passing Yards / Game
27
12
Rushing Yards / Game
26
1
EPA
EPA / Play
32
4
EPA / Pass
32
5
EPA / Rush
29
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
15
Interceptions / Game
14
10
Fumbles / Game
30
25
Turnover EPA / Game
8
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
2
4th Down Efficiency
28
12
RZ Efficiency
32
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U