WASCommanders
3-3
7
TBD
New Era Field
44°F
6 mph
24
BUFBills
3-3
TBD
New Era Field
44°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
0
7
0
7
Bills
3
7
7
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
169
432
Total Plays
53
66
Yards / Play
3.2
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.16
+0.11
Passing Yards
113
236
Comp/Att
10/29(34%)
19/26(73%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
9.1
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.34
Rushing Yards
56
196
Rush Attempts
22
39
Yards / Rush
2.5
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.46
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
25
Passing 1st downs
4
15
Rushing 1st downs
3
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
14%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.17
-7.07
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-6
-8
Sack EPA
-1.83
-1.46
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
77
95
Penalty EPA
-8.30
-6.84
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
5
Yards / Game
23
2
Passing Yards / Game
15
10
Rushing Yards / Game
25
7
EPA
EPA / Play
17
8
EPA / Pass
19
7
EPA / Rush
15
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
1
Interceptions / Game
13
30
Fumbles / Game
19
25
Turnover EPA / Game
23
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
16
4th Down Efficiency
6
21
RZ Efficiency
14
17
Bills Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
24
Yards / Game
30
25
Passing Yards / Game
22
7
Rushing Yards / Game
22
25
EPA
EPA / Play
28
28
EPA / Pass
27
22
EPA / Rush
21
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
15
12
Fumbles / Game
28
8
Turnover EPA / Game
4
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
24
4th Down Efficiency
15
32
RZ Efficiency
20
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U