WASCommanders
1-2
13
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
12 mph
17
CLEBrowns
1-2
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
7
0
3
13
Browns
3
0
7
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
280
Total Plays
57
56
Yards / Play
4.6
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.12
Passing Yards
--
184
Comp/Att
17/32(53%)
14/21(67%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.8
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.03
Rushing Yards
73
96
Rush Attempts
25
32
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
14
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
9%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
1
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-6.80
-3.13
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-3.92
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
58
66
Penalty EPA
-8.53
-8.71
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
24
Yards / Game
30
14
Passing Yards / Game
24
2
Rushing Yards / Game
20
32
EPA
EPA / Play
29
17
EPA / Pass
24
12
EPA / Rush
27
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
11
Interceptions / Game
17
19
Fumbles / Game
7
21
Turnover EPA / Game
16
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
14
4th Down Efficiency
27
14
RZ Efficiency
17
25
Browns Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
4
Yards / Game
28
3
Passing Yards / Game
20
12
Rushing Yards / Game
23
1
EPA
EPA / Play
28
4
EPA / Pass
27
5
EPA / Rush
31
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
15
Interceptions / Game
25
10
Fumbles / Game
32
25
Turnover EPA / Game
4
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
2
4th Down Efficiency
23
12
RZ Efficiency
26
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U