WASCommanders
5-3
35
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
9 mph
36
TBBuccaneers
5-3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
10
15
7
35
Buccaneers
7
14
7
8
36
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
391
342
Total Plays
71
57
Yards / Play
5.5
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.18
Passing Yards
206
--
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
15/29(52%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.53
Rushing Yards
185
63
Rush Attempts
33
28
Yards / Rush
5.6
2.3
EPA / Rush
+0.14
-0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
19
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
47%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
9
Red Zone %
75%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-13.81
-5.24
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-22
--
Sack EPA
-6.40
--
Penalties
6
2
Penalty Yards
41
--
Penalty EPA
-4.84
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
7
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
15
Rushing Yards / Game
7
5
EPA
EPA / Play
11
3
EPA / Pass
11
5
EPA / Rush
14
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
14
Interceptions / Game
6
13
Fumbles / Game
29
18
Turnover EPA / Game
21
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
7
4th Down Efficiency
11
13
RZ Efficiency
5
13
Buccaneers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
9
Yards / Game
24
9
Passing Yards / Game
23
7
Rushing Yards / Game
15
12
EPA
EPA / Play
21
7
EPA / Pass
22
9
EPA / Rush
15
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
18
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
10
14
Turnover EPA / Game
8
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
13
4th Down Efficiency
17
6
RZ Efficiency
15
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U