WASCommanders
3-1
24
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
79°F
12 mph
10
ARICardinals
2-3
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
79°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
4
7
7
18
Cardinals
3
0
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
410
274
Total Plays
74
65
Yards / Play
5.5
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.15
Passing Yards
243
207
Comp/Att
24/40(60%)
20/43(47%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.27
Rushing Yards
167
67
Rush Attempts
34
20
Yards / Rush
4.9
3.4
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
15
Passing 1st downs
18
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
46%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.77
-5.63
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-9
Sack EPA
-1.34
-2.53
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
54
30
Penalty EPA
-5.88
-2.37
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
27
Yards / Game
3
23
Passing Yards / Game
12
8
Rushing Yards / Game
5
30
EPA
EPA / Play
2
24
EPA / Pass
8
17
EPA / Rush
1
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
11
Interceptions / Game
10
15
Fumbles / Game
9
21
Turnover EPA / Game
26
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
27
4th Down Efficiency
13
4
RZ Efficiency
6
31
Cardinals Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
23
Yards / Game
29
25
Passing Yards / Game
18
24
Rushing Yards / Game
29
23
EPA
EPA / Play
28
26
EPA / Pass
30
16
EPA / Rush
23
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
25
Interceptions / Game
30
6
Fumbles / Game
6
18
Turnover EPA / Game
5
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
18
4th Down Efficiency
30
23
RZ Efficiency
13
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
3-1
SU
2-2
ATS
0-0-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Cardinals
2-3
SU
2-3
ATS
0-0-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U