WASCommanders
5-6
20
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
71°F
8 mph
10
ARICardinals
5-6
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
71°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
10
0
10
20
Cardinals
0
3
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
331
326
Total Plays
62
57
Yards / Play
5.3
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.11
Passing Yards
201
246
Comp/Att
19/26(73%)
20/34(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.41
-0.03
Rushing Yards
130
80
Rush Attempts
35
22
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
42%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
10
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.23
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-9
-7
Sack EPA
-1.48
-0.96
Penalties
13
8
Penalty Yards
99
49
Penalty EPA
-8.02
-5.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
22
Yards / Game
28
28
Passing Yards / Game
28
12
Rushing Yards / Game
8
24
EPA
EPA / Play
27
23
EPA / Pass
27
26
EPA / Rush
12
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
23
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
19
30
Turnover EPA / Game
21
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
17
4th Down Efficiency
24
19
RZ Efficiency
25
22
Cardinals Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
12
Yards / Game
19
10
Passing Yards / Game
15
9
Rushing Yards / Game
27
19
EPA
EPA / Play
16
11
EPA / Pass
8
9
EPA / Rush
29
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
17
Interceptions / Game
7
6
Fumbles / Game
20
12
Turnover EPA / Game
19
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
12
4th Down Efficiency
10
6
RZ Efficiency
21
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U