WASCommanders
3-1
21
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
66°F
7 mph
28
KCChiefs
2-2
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
66°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
7
14
0
21
Chiefs
3
3
9
7
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
398
276
Total Plays
73
59
Yards / Play
5.5
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.17
Passing Yards
297
180
Comp/Att
25/41(61%)
15/26(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.33
+0.23
Rushing Yards
101
96
Rush Attempts
28
32
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.48
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
18
Passing 1st downs
17
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
42%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-18.23
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-34
-3
Sack EPA
-8.99
-1.21
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
16
Yards / Game
19
26
Passing Yards / Game
25
30
Rushing Yards / Game
7
8
EPA
EPA / Play
11
27
EPA / Pass
11
28
EPA / Rush
14
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
17
Interceptions / Game
6
14
Fumbles / Game
29
9
Turnover EPA / Game
21
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
15
4th Down Efficiency
11
10
RZ Efficiency
5
6
Chiefs Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
9
Yards / Game
1
9
Passing Yards / Game
6
7
Rushing Yards / Game
4
12
EPA
EPA / Play
2
7
EPA / Pass
6
9
EPA / Rush
3
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
18
Interceptions / Game
3
14
Fumbles / Game
23
14
Turnover EPA / Game
23
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
13
4th Down Efficiency
6
6
RZ Efficiency
14
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U