WASCommanders
8-5
21
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
024
INDColts
11-2
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
10
0
8
21
Colts
7
3
0
14
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
361
379
Total Plays
67
59
Yards / Play
5.4
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.06
Passing Yards
210
263
Comp/Att
16/31(52%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.11
Rushing Yards
151
88
Rush Attempts
32
23
Yards / Rush
4.7
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
24
Passing 1st downs
11
16
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
23%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
9
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-10.11
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-29
-7
Sack EPA
-5.85
-3.42
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
60
62
Penalty EPA
-5.00
-6.41
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
17
Yards / Game
3
15
Passing Yards / Game
12
7
Rushing Yards / Game
5
21
EPA
EPA / Play
2
19
EPA / Pass
8
19
EPA / Rush
1
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
31
Interceptions / Game
10
30
Fumbles / Game
9
19
Turnover EPA / Game
26
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
12
4th Down Efficiency
13
12
RZ Efficiency
6
14
Colts Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
23
Yards / Game
7
25
Passing Yards / Game
29
24
Rushing Yards / Game
19
23
EPA
EPA / Play
3
26
EPA / Pass
2
16
EPA / Rush
12
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
25
Interceptions / Game
12
6
Fumbles / Game
10
18
Turnover EPA / Game
24
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
18
4th Down Efficiency
28
23
RZ Efficiency
19
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U