WASCommanders
2-0
16
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
018
DALCowboys
1-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
6
3
7
0
16
Cowboys
3
6
3
6
18
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
298
375
Total Plays
62
63
Yards / Play
4.8
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.11
Passing Yards
233
250
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.06
Rushing Yards
65
125
Rush Attempts
22
26
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
16
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
25%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.94
-6.42
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-17
-5
Sack EPA
-4.98
-1.34
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
35
55
Penalty EPA
-7.08
-6.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model69.9%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-3.5
Expected Value
+6.8%
Cover Probability
55.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+192
Home nfelo
1,574
Away nfelo
1,476
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+27.8
Home QB Adjustment
+16.1
Away QB Adjustment
-11.7
Market Regression
-9.8
Final Difference
146.4
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
R. Grossman
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-11.7
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+16.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
15
Yards / Game
16
14
Passing Yards / Game
8
17
Rushing Yards / Game
27
6
EPA
EPA / Play
22
17
EPA / Pass
22
18
EPA / Rush
15
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
14
Interceptions / Game
29
18
Fumbles / Game
24
12
Turnover EPA / Game
6
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
22
4th Down Efficiency
29
8
RZ Efficiency
28
22
Cowboys Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
21
Yards / Game
10
12
Passing Yards / Game
7
21
Rushing Yards / Game
17
17
EPA
EPA / Play
11
20
EPA / Pass
6
19
EPA / Rush
22
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
12
Interceptions / Game
7
22
Fumbles / Game
17
28
Turnover EPA / Game
24
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
17
4th Down Efficiency
9
12
RZ Efficiency
19
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
9-1
O/U