WASCommanders
4-6
23
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
74°F
10 mph
24
MIADolphins
6-4
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
74°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
6
14
3
0
23
Dolphins
7
3
0
14
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
277
317
Total Plays
68
57
Yards / Play
4.1
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.13
Passing Yards
148
173
Comp/Att
16/34(47%)
13/23(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.00
-0.09
Rushing Yards
129
144
Rush Attempts
32
32
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
16
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
43%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
+5.14
-3.78
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-9
-19
Sack EPA
-2.74
-3.36
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
38
45
Penalty EPA
-5.65
-5.47
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
2
Yards / Game
23
8
Passing Yards / Game
15
22
Rushing Yards / Game
25
5
EPA
EPA / Play
17
3
EPA / Pass
19
6
EPA / Rush
15
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
19
Interceptions / Game
13
7
Fumbles / Game
19
8
Turnover EPA / Game
23
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
11
4th Down Efficiency
6
1
RZ Efficiency
14
1
Dolphins Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
24
Yards / Game
24
25
Passing Yards / Game
12
7
Rushing Yards / Game
17
25
EPA
EPA / Play
21
28
EPA / Pass
22
22
EPA / Rush
20
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
4
Interceptions / Game
21
12
Fumbles / Game
28
8
Turnover EPA / Game
7
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
24
4th Down Efficiency
16
32
RZ Efficiency
15
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U