WASCommanders
3-1
25
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
63°F
12 mph
27
PHIEagles
1-2
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
63°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
10
3
12
25
Eagles
3
10
1
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
307
261
Total Plays
74
63
Yards / Play
4.1
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.04
Passing Yards
258
140
Comp/Att
25/51(49%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
4.7
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.24
Rushing Yards
49
121
Rush Attempts
21
30
Yards / Rush
2.3
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
29%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-10.22
-8.04
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-17
Sack EPA
-2.46
-5.10
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
85
86
Penalty EPA
-8.22
-7.93
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
6
Yards / Game
23
19
Passing Yards / Game
15
21
Rushing Yards / Game
25
23
EPA
EPA / Play
17
13
EPA / Pass
19
11
EPA / Rush
15
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
2
Interceptions / Game
13
27
Fumbles / Game
19
4
Turnover EPA / Game
23
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
9
4th Down Efficiency
6
5
RZ Efficiency
14
13
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
24
Yards / Game
17
25
Passing Yards / Game
17
7
Rushing Yards / Game
9
25
EPA
EPA / Play
8
28
EPA / Pass
18
22
EPA / Rush
1
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
4
Interceptions / Game
7
12
Fumbles / Game
8
8
Turnover EPA / Game
25
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
24
4th Down Efficiency
9
32
RZ Efficiency
6
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U