WASCommanders
9-6
31
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
43°F
5 mph
20
PHIEagles
6-9
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
43°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
7
3
7
8
25
Eagles
10
7
3
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
279
335
Total Plays
62
71
Yards / Play
4.5
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.15
Passing Yards
128
239
Comp/Att
9/25(36%)
21/42(50%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.25
-0.33
Rushing Yards
151
96
Rush Attempts
36
25
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
5
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
25%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
+4.54
-19.19
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-13
-22
Sack EPA
-1.88
-12.04
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
60
45
Penalty EPA
-7.89
-4.16
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
27
Yards / Game
19
23
Passing Yards / Game
25
18
Rushing Yards / Game
7
20
EPA
EPA / Play
11
11
EPA / Pass
11
21
EPA / Rush
14
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
9
Interceptions / Game
6
11
Fumbles / Game
29
19
Turnover EPA / Game
21
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
5
4th Down Efficiency
11
27
RZ Efficiency
5
27
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
9
Yards / Game
18
9
Passing Yards / Game
4
7
Rushing Yards / Game
28
12
EPA
EPA / Play
27
7
EPA / Pass
26
9
EPA / Rush
22
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
18
Interceptions / Game
26
14
Fumbles / Game
18
14
Turnover EPA / Game
4
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
13
4th Down Efficiency
31
6
RZ Efficiency
12
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
3-7
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U