WASCommanders
1-0
33
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
031
ATLFalcons
1-0
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
17
7
7
31
Falcons
3
21
0
7
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
435
283
Total Plays
76
61
Yards / Play
5.7
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.18
Passing Yards
310
184
Comp/Att
25/39(64%)
16/36(44%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.05
-0.34
Rushing Yards
125
99
Rush Attempts
31
22
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
17
Passing 1st downs
16
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
9%
3rd Down Conversions
5
1
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-10.46
-8.62
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-46
-13
Sack EPA
-16.63
-4.37
Penalties
12
5
Penalty Yards
79
35
Penalty EPA
-5.57
-3.80
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
30
Yards / Game
23
32
Passing Yards / Game
15
25
Rushing Yards / Game
25
29
EPA
EPA / Play
17
22
EPA / Pass
19
29
EPA / Rush
15
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
18
Interceptions / Game
13
15
Fumbles / Game
19
2
Turnover EPA / Game
23
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
22
4th Down Efficiency
6
4
RZ Efficiency
14
24
Falcons Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
24
Yards / Game
29
25
Passing Yards / Game
23
7
Rushing Yards / Game
14
25
EPA
EPA / Play
30
28
EPA / Pass
32
22
EPA / Rush
5
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
4
Interceptions / Game
28
12
Fumbles / Game
5
8
Turnover EPA / Game
6
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
24
4th Down Efficiency
9
32
RZ Efficiency
13
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U