WASCommanders
1-1
21
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
4 mph
32
NYGGiants
0-2
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
6
0
15
21
Giants
10
3
3
14
30
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
395
363
Total Plays
71
63
Yards / Play
5.6
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.22
Passing Yards
307
--
Comp/Att
30/50(60%)
23/32(72%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.08
+0.53
Rushing Yards
88
84
Rush Attempts
20
31
Yards / Rush
4.4
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.39
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
19
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
40%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.70
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-11
--
Sack EPA
-1.85
--
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
58
67
Penalty EPA
-5.76
-6.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
Giants-3.0
Expected Value
+4.3%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+134
Home nfelo
1,460
Away nfelo
1,397
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+14.6
Home QB Adjustment
+11.7
Away QB Adjustment
-2.9
Market Regression
-13.8
Final Difference
91.5
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-2.9
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+11.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
30
Yards / Game
15
32
Passing Yards / Game
7
13
Rushing Yards / Game
20
24
EPA
EPA / Play
13
31
EPA / Pass
6
25
EPA / Rush
28
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
28
Interceptions / Game
9
10
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
19
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
11
12
Giants Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
19
Yards / Game
6
26
Passing Yards / Game
29
11
Rushing Yards / Game
18
26
EPA
EPA / Play
7
20
EPA / Pass
10
20
EPA / Rush
21
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
26
Interceptions / Game
17
25
Fumbles / Game
9
1
Turnover EPA / Game
14
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
10
4th Down Efficiency
8
22
RZ Efficiency
29
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U