WASCommanders
5-2
35
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
79°F
15 mph
16
JAXJaguars
2-5
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
79°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
7
14
7
7
35
Jaguars
3
13
0
0
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
399
385
Total Plays
52
73
Yards / Play
7.7
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.39
-0.02
Passing Yards
--
239
Comp/Att
16/23(70%)
21/42(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.54
-0.28
Rushing Yards
130
146
Rush Attempts
30
26
Yards / Rush
4.3
5.6
EPA / Rush
+0.20
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
22%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
17
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-1.54
-10.30
Sacks
--
6
Sack Yards
--
-32
Sack EPA
--
-6.65
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
59
42
Penalty EPA
-2.85
+0.45
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
15
Yards / Game
10
11
Passing Yards / Game
10
2
Rushing Yards / Game
19
12
EPA
EPA / Play
16
16
EPA / Pass
11
20
EPA / Rush
24
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
4
Interceptions / Game
25
25
Fumbles / Game
19
2
Turnover EPA / Game
12
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
11
4th Down Efficiency
21
16
RZ Efficiency
15
31
Jaguars Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
7
Yards / Game
6
5
Passing Yards / Game
8
4
Rushing Yards / Game
8
21
EPA
EPA / Play
8
12
EPA / Pass
10
3
EPA / Rush
11
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
24
Interceptions / Game
10
12
Fumbles / Game
19
5
Turnover EPA / Game
16
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
8
4th Down Efficiency
24
11
RZ Efficiency
16
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
4-6
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U