WASCommanders
4-4
7
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
82°F
10 mph
26
JAXJaguars
3-5
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
82°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
7
0
0
0
7
Jaguars
0
4
7
3
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
307
309
Total Plays
69
64
Yards / Play
4.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.29
Passing Yards
239
167
Comp/Att
27/51(53%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.03
Rushing Yards
68
142
Rush Attempts
16
32
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.82
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
18
Passing 1st downs
16
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
25%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.55
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-17
-27
Sack EPA
-3.04
-5.37
Penalties
14
--
Penalty Yards
104
--
Penalty EPA
+13.86
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
7
Yards / Game
21
20
Passing Yards / Game
18
20
Rushing Yards / Game
12
25
EPA
EPA / Play
26
23
EPA / Pass
23
21
EPA / Rush
17
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
9
Interceptions / Game
23
22
Fumbles / Game
25
12
Turnover EPA / Game
3
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
19
4th Down Efficiency
17
20
RZ Efficiency
6
12
Jaguars Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
19
Yards / Game
25
4
Passing Yards / Game
26
16
Rushing Yards / Game
9
12
EPA
EPA / Play
32
6
EPA / Pass
30
6
EPA / Rush
32
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
12
Interceptions / Game
1
22
Fumbles / Game
3
9
Turnover EPA / Game
31
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
6
4th Down Efficiency
5
3
RZ Efficiency
32
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U