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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. commanders @ jets week 9, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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WAS logo
WASCommanders
4-3
23
TBD
Giants Stadium
55°F
8 mph
20
NYJJets
1-7
NYJ logo
TBD
Giants Stadium
55°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Commanders
3
6
3
8
3
23
Jets
10
7
0
3
0
20

Game Statistics

General
Commanders logo
Jets logo
Total Yards
433
338
Total Plays
73
71
Yards / Play
5.9
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.14
Passing Yards
137
214
Comp/Att
12/24(50%)
23/42(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-0.00
Rushing Yards
296
124
Rush Attempts
48
26
Yards / Rush
6.2
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.16
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
Commanders logo
Jets logo
1st Downs
23
23
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
13
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
46%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
6
11
3rd Down Attempts
13
18
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Commanders logo
Jets logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.40
-4.31
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-7
-12
Sack EPA
-1.26
-3.44
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
50
40
Penalty EPA
-7.23
-3.79

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
WAS logo
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Commanders Offense vs Jets Defense
Commanders logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
19
19
Yards / Game
15
18
Passing Yards / Game
7
5
Rushing Yards / Game
12
29

EPA

EPA / Play
20
30
EPA / Pass
12
24
EPA / Rush
32
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
3
Interceptions / Game
4
23
Fumbles / Game
29
32
Turnover EPA / Game
7
5

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
24
4th Down Efficiency
24
32
RZ Efficiency
20
26
Jets Offense vs Commanders Defense
Jets logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
25
12
Yards / Game
26
9
Passing Yards / Game
11
24
Rushing Yards / Game
18
3

EPA

EPA / Play
18
8
EPA / Pass
25
6
EPA / Rush
14
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
21
Interceptions / Game
23
22
Fumbles / Game
2
24
Turnover EPA / Game
18
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
5
4th Down Efficiency
14
26
RZ Efficiency
31
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

WAS logo

Commanders

5-5
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/17
6
W
W
P
12/24
-6
L
L
P
12/30
-6
L
L
P
09/09
3
W
P
P
09/17
8
W
W
P
09/23
-7
L
L
P
10/07
31
W
W
P
10/14
-3
L
P
P
10/21
2
W
L
P
10/28
-45
L
L
P
NYJ logo

Jets

2-8
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
20
W
W
P
01/07
-21
L
L
P
09/09
-24
L
L
P
09/16
-7
L
W
P
09/23
3
W
P
P
09/30
-3
L
L
P
10/07
-11
L
L
P
10/14
-7
L
L
P
10/21
-7
L
L
P
10/28
-10
L
L
P