WASCommanders
3-1
14
TBD
Lambeau Field
46°F
7 mph
17
GBPackers
4-1
TBD
Lambeau Field
46°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
7
7
0
0
14
Packers
7
0
4
0
11
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
304
225
Total Plays
69
59
Yards / Play
4.4
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.30
-0.33
Passing Yards
210
169
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
19/37(51%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.34
Rushing Yards
94
56
Rush Attempts
29
20
Yards / Rush
3.2
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.53
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
13
Passing 1st downs
11
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
21%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-17.43
-4.12
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-7
-19
Sack EPA
-1.79
-2.95
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
53
35
Penalty EPA
-6.90
-4.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
7
Yards / Game
15
10
Passing Yards / Game
7
14
Rushing Yards / Game
12
12
EPA
EPA / Play
20
11
EPA / Pass
12
8
EPA / Rush
32
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
30
Interceptions / Game
4
17
Fumbles / Game
29
30
Turnover EPA / Game
7
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
3
4th Down Efficiency
24
4
RZ Efficiency
20
9
Packers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
12
Yards / Game
2
9
Passing Yards / Game
16
24
Rushing Yards / Game
19
3
EPA
EPA / Play
5
8
EPA / Pass
5
6
EPA / Rush
20
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
21
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
21
24
Turnover EPA / Game
29
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
5
4th Down Efficiency
15
26
RZ Efficiency
8
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
5-5
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U