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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. commanders @ panthers week 11, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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WAS logo
WASCommanders
4-5
17
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
63°F
7 mph
20
CARPanthers
7-2
CAR logo
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
63°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
3
0
14
17
Panthers
0
3
7
10
20

Game Statistics

General
Commanders logo
Panthers logo
Total Yards
181
427
Total Plays
60
65
Yards / Play
3.0
6.6
EPA / Play
-0.28
-0.24
Passing Yards
127
--
Comp/Att
16/35(46%)
20/30(67%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.23
-0.12
Rushing Yards
54
110
Rush Attempts
22
35
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.52
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
Commanders logo
Panthers logo
1st Downs
13
17
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
31%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
40%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Commanders logo
Panthers logo
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-10.88
-19.57
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-23
--
Sack EPA
-3.73
--
Penalties
--
4
Penalty Yards
--
69
Penalty EPA
--
-5.32

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
WAS logo
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Commanders Offense vs Panthers Defense
Commanders logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
21
8
Yards / Game
23
11
Passing Yards / Game
15
11
Rushing Yards / Game
25
10

EPA

EPA / Play
17
7
EPA / Pass
19
12
EPA / Rush
15
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
23
Interceptions / Game
13
9
Fumbles / Game
19
29
Turnover EPA / Game
23
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
7
4th Down Efficiency
6
13
RZ Efficiency
14
11
Panthers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Panthers logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
14
24
Yards / Game
14
25
Passing Yards / Game
27
7
Rushing Yards / Game
7
25

EPA

EPA / Play
16
28
EPA / Pass
14
22
EPA / Rush
24
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
4
Interceptions / Game
8
12
Fumbles / Game
27
8
Turnover EPA / Game
14
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
24
4th Down Efficiency
9
32
RZ Efficiency
31
30

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

WAS logo

Commanders

5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/29
6
W
L
P
09/04
3
W
P
P
09/14
2
W
W
P
09/21
-3
L
L
P
09/28
3
W
L
P
10/05
-2
L
W
P
10/12
-22
L
L
P
10/19
-17
L
L
P
11/02
-7
L
L
P
11/09
7
W
W
P
CAR logo

Panthers

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/29
4
W
W
P
09/07
1
W
L
P
09/14
3
W
W
P
09/28
20
W
W
P
10/05
6
W
L
P
10/12
3
W
W
P
10/19
-20
L
L
P
10/26
3
W
W
P
11/02
-4
L
L
P
11/09
3
W
W
P