WASCommanders
5-9
31
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
037
LARRams
6-8
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Commanders
7
14
7
3
0
31
Rams
0
14
14
3
6
37
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
336
579
Total Plays
64
78
Yards / Play
5.3
7.4
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.11
Passing Yards
--
382
Comp/Att
13/26(50%)
25/38(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
10.1
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.38
Rushing Yards
176
197
Rush Attempts
38
39
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
25
Passing 1st downs
10
16
Rushing 1st downs
11
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-2.87
-3.55
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-6
Sack EPA
--
-1.67
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-2.78
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
28
Yards / Game
13
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
5
Rushing Yards / Game
4
31
EPA
EPA / Play
9
31
EPA / Pass
12
20
EPA / Rush
6
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
4
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
10
7
Turnover EPA / Game
29
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
32
4th Down Efficiency
19
2
RZ Efficiency
16
24
Rams Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
27
Yards / Game
5
30
Passing Yards / Game
2
9
Rushing Yards / Game
18
26
EPA
EPA / Play
8
32
EPA / Pass
8
32
EPA / Rush
13
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
30
Interceptions / Game
1
32
Fumbles / Game
14
32
Turnover EPA / Game
30
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
28
4th Down Efficiency
6
29
RZ Efficiency
7
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
3-7
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U