WASCommanders
6-8
40
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
010
NOSaints
7-7
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
13
17
10
40
Saints
10
0
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
263
213
Total Plays
61
55
Yards / Play
4.3
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.24
-0.42
Passing Yards
90
113
Comp/Att
9/15(60%)
14/28(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.44
Rushing Yards
173
100
Rush Attempts
44
23
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.20
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
12
Passing 1st downs
5
7
Rushing 1st downs
13
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
63%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
10
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
57%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
7
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.57
-13.02
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-4
-14
Sack EPA
-2.09
-5.14
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
34
75
Penalty EPA
-5.84
-8.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
27
Yards / Game
28
17
Passing Yards / Game
28
15
Rushing Yards / Game
8
13
EPA
EPA / Play
27
25
EPA / Pass
27
24
EPA / Rush
12
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
5
Interceptions / Game
4
21
Fumbles / Game
19
3
Turnover EPA / Game
21
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
23
4th Down Efficiency
24
1
RZ Efficiency
25
30
Saints Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
12
Yards / Game
10
10
Passing Yards / Game
9
9
Rushing Yards / Game
19
19
EPA
EPA / Play
20
11
EPA / Pass
16
9
EPA / Rush
28
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
17
Interceptions / Game
25
6
Fumbles / Game
15
12
Turnover EPA / Game
10
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
12
4th Down Efficiency
22
6
RZ Efficiency
12
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U