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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ bengals week 9, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DAL logo
DALCowboys
3-4
3
TBD
Paycor Stadium
63°F
9 mph
26
CINBengals
2-5
CIN logo
TBD
Paycor Stadium
63°F
9 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
3
0
0
3
Bengals
3
6
7
10
26

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
Bengals logo
Total Yards
311
328
Total Plays
58
63
Yards / Play
5.4
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.30
+0.09
Passing Yards
202
--
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
21/32(66%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
--
EPA / Pass
-0.47
+0.03
Rushing Yards
109
116
Rush Attempts
27
31
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.21
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
Bengals logo
1st Downs
13
15
Passing 1st downs
6
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
17
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
Bengals logo
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-17.16
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-5
--
Sack EPA
-3.77
--
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
46
20
Penalty EPA
-7.67
-3.85

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs Bengals Defense
Cowboys logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
25
21
Yards / Game
16
17
Passing Yards / Game
7
26
Rushing Yards / Game
19
25

EPA

EPA / Play
18
10
EPA / Pass
21
9
EPA / Rush
18
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
26
Interceptions / Game
31
8
Fumbles / Game
27
6
Turnover EPA / Game
7
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
15
4th Down Efficiency
13
6
RZ Efficiency
15
9
Bengals Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Bengals logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
10
26
Yards / Game
18
16
Passing Yards / Game
30
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
10

EPA

EPA / Play
23
26
EPA / Pass
22
27
EPA / Rush
21
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
16
Interceptions / Game
29
25
Fumbles / Game
21
30
Turnover EPA / Game
6
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
20
4th Down Efficiency
14
4
RZ Efficiency
19
30

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/21
16
W
W
P
12/28
-6
L
L
P
01/03
-19
L
L
P
09/12
-18
L
L
P
09/19
7
W
W
P
09/27
3
W
W
P
10/10
-16
L
L
P
10/17
-4
L
L
P
10/24
-21
L
L
P
10/31
10
W
W
P
CIN logo

Bengals

3-7
SU
1-8-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/14
3
W
P
P
12/21
-17
L
L
P
12/28
-8
L
L
P
09/12
-7
L
L
P
09/19
3
W
L
P
09/26
-14
L
L
P
10/03
-11
L
L
P
10/17
-17
L
L
P
10/25
13
W
W
P
10/31
-7
L
L
P