DALCowboys
4-0
25
TBD
New Era Field
73°F
11 mph
24
BUFBills
1-3
TBD
New Era Field
73°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
10
3
12
25
Bills
1
4
7
0
12
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
385
229
Total Plays
73
58
Yards / Play
5.3
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.20
Passing Yards
--
148
Comp/Att
29/51(57%)
23/31(74%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.14
-0.30
Rushing Yards
76
81
Rush Attempts
22
24
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
14
Passing 1st downs
19
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
60%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
25%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
1
Interceptions
5
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-29.95
-8.19
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-28
Sack EPA
--
-4.51
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
31
49
Penalty EPA
-0.91
-4.88
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
18
Yards / Game
4
31
Passing Yards / Game
15
18
Rushing Yards / Game
17
25
EPA
EPA / Play
3
27
EPA / Pass
2
28
EPA / Rush
7
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
23
Interceptions / Game
22
8
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
24
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
29
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
12
4
Bills Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
13
Yards / Game
30
8
Passing Yards / Game
32
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
7
EPA
EPA / Play
24
19
EPA / Pass
31
11
EPA / Rush
16
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
22
Interceptions / Game
6
12
Fumbles / Game
8
27
Turnover EPA / Game
27
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
14
4th Down Efficiency
16
22
RZ Efficiency
30
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-3-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U