DALCowboys
1-0
17
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
72°F
5 mph
42
DENBroncos
1-0
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
72°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
10
0
7
17
Broncos
7
14
14
1
36
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
268
380
Total Plays
66
73
Yards / Play
4.1
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.34
+0.05
Passing Yards
228
202
Comp/Att
30/50(60%)
22/32(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.37
+0.18
Rushing Yards
40
178
Rush Attempts
14
39
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
26
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
1
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
21%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-14.46
-12.03
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-10
-29
Sack EPA
-2.49
-8.23
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
69
61
Penalty EPA
-9.37
-6.65
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model51.3%
Spread Pick
Broncos+2.5
Expected Value
+2.6%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+22
Home nfelo
1,503
Away nfelo
1,556
Home Field
+87.8
Base HFA
+57.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.1
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-13.8
Home QB Adjustment
-2.9
Away QB Adjustment
+11.0
Market Regression
-4.8
Final Difference
-8.9
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+11.0
T. Siemian
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-2.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
22
Yards / Game
14
1
Passing Yards / Game
27
10
Rushing Yards / Game
2
5
EPA
EPA / Play
10
9
EPA / Pass
19
16
EPA / Rush
1
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
3
Interceptions / Game
17
25
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
19
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
2
4th Down Efficiency
11
7
RZ Efficiency
7
25
Broncos Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
9
Yards / Game
18
6
Passing Yards / Game
19
1
Rushing Yards / Game
12
8
EPA
EPA / Play
29
16
EPA / Pass
31
20
EPA / Rush
16
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
22
Interceptions / Game
31
25
Fumbles / Game
23
14
Turnover EPA / Game
2
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
29
4th Down Efficiency
26
6
RZ Efficiency
32
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U