DALCowboys
-
34
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
85°F
6 mph
21
TBBuccaneers
-
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
85°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
6
7
7
14
34
Buccaneers
0
7
0
14
21
Spread
-5
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
462
450
Total Plays
52
73
Yards / Play
8.9
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.49
+0.12
Passing Yards
344
--
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
25/42(60%)
Yards / Pass
12.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.72
+0.15
Rushing Yards
118
174
Rush Attempts
24
31
Yards / Rush
4.9
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.07
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
26
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
30%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-1.61
--
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
41
15
Penalty EPA
-3.01
-2.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market67.5%
Model57.2%
Spread Pick
Buccaneers+5.0
Expected Value
+18.8%
Cover Probability
61.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+24
Home nfelo
1,484
Away nfelo
1,536
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-19.3
Home QB Adjustment
-11.3
Away QB Adjustment
+8.0
Market Regression
-33.6
Final Difference
-50.4
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+8.0
B. Leftwich
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-11.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
27
Yards / Game
2
26
Passing Yards / Game
2
11
Rushing Yards / Game
6
32
EPA
EPA / Play
10
19
EPA / Pass
7
22
EPA / Rush
9
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
20
Interceptions / Game
3
9
Fumbles / Game
12
23
Turnover EPA / Game
29
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
23
4th Down Efficiency
31
26
RZ Efficiency
17
14
Buccaneers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
3
Yards / Game
28
10
Passing Yards / Game
25
23
Rushing Yards / Game
22
4
EPA
EPA / Play
31
8
EPA / Pass
28
17
EPA / Rush
24
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
13
Interceptions / Game
31
27
Fumbles / Game
2
5
Turnover EPA / Game
4
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
3
4th Down Efficiency
23
8
RZ Efficiency
14
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U