nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ buccaneers week 14, 2000

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

DAL logo
DALCowboys
4-8
7
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
63°F
12 mph
27
TBBuccaneers
7-5
TB logo
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
63°F
12 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
0
7
0
7
Buccaneers
11
3
0
7
21

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
Buccaneers logo
Total Yards
266
301
Total Plays
63
51
Yards / Play
4.2
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.15
+0.20
Passing Yards
153
51
Comp/Att
17/33(52%)
9/15(60%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
3.4
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.09
Rushing Yards
113
250
Rush Attempts
28
36
Yards / Rush
4.0
6.9
EPA / Rush
-0.09
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
Buccaneers logo
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
10
5
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
38%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
25%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
Buccaneers logo
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
4
0
Turnover EPA
-16.06
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-15
-14
Sack EPA
-5.54
-0.82
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
58
35
Penalty EPA
-3.31
-3.09

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Cowboys logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
23
8
Yards / Game
26
9
Passing Yards / Game
31
22
Rushing Yards / Game
12
11

EPA

EPA / Play
22
5
EPA / Pass
26
4
EPA / Rush
12
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
15
Interceptions / Game
25
5
Fumbles / Game
31
6
Turnover EPA / Game
4
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
7
4th Down Efficiency
10
22
RZ Efficiency
19
7
Buccaneers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Buccaneers logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
8
20
Yards / Game
22
18
Passing Yards / Game
28
1
Rushing Yards / Game
9
31

EPA

EPA / Play
17
23
EPA / Pass
17
16
EPA / Rush
9
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
17
Interceptions / Game
4
17
Fumbles / Game
4
30
Turnover EPA / Game
27
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
22
4th Down Efficiency
24
13
RZ Efficiency
8
19

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/18
6
W
W
P
09/24
-17
L
L
P
10/01
3
W
W
P
10/15
-5
L
L
P
10/22
41
W
W
P
10/29
-6
L
L
P
11/05
-3
L
P
P
11/12
17
W
W
P
11/19
-27
L
L
P
11/23
-12
L
L
P
TB logo

Buccaneers

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/17
21
W
W
P
09/24
-4
L
L
P
10/01
-3
L
L
P
10/09
-7
L
L
P
10/19
-14
L
L
P
10/29
28
W
W
P
11/05
13
W
W
P
11/12
5
W
L
P
11/19
-3
L
L
P
11/26
14
W
W
P