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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ commanders week 17, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DAL logo
DALCowboys
13-2
6
TBD
FedExField
39°F
6 mph
27
WASCommanders
8-7
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
39°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
3
0
3
6
Commanders
7
6
7
7
27

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
147
354
Total Plays
45
71
Yards / Play
3.3
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.41
+0.02
Passing Yards
146
223
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
22/31(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.32
+0.15
Rushing Yards
1
131
Rush Attempts
16
37
Yards / Rush
0.1
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.72
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
7
22
Passing 1st downs
5
16
Rushing 1st downs
--
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
0%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
--
9
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-4.73
-9.68
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-19
-21
Sack EPA
-2.42
-8.72
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
37
37
Penalty EPA
-3.31
-5.27

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs Commanders Defense
Cowboys logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
3
12
Yards / Game
4
9
Passing Yards / Game
15
24
Rushing Yards / Game
17
3

EPA

EPA / Play
3
8
EPA / Pass
2
6
EPA / Rush
7
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
21
Interceptions / Game
22
22
Fumbles / Game
1
24
Turnover EPA / Game
24
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
5
4th Down Efficiency
4
26
RZ Efficiency
12
6
Commanders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Commanders logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
19
13
Yards / Game
15
8
Passing Yards / Game
7
27
Rushing Yards / Game
12
7

EPA

EPA / Play
20
19
EPA / Pass
12
11
EPA / Rush
32
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
22
Interceptions / Game
4
12
Fumbles / Game
29
27
Turnover EPA / Game
7
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
14
4th Down Efficiency
24
22
RZ Efficiency
20
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/14
-21
L
L
P
10/21
10
W
W
P
11/04
21
W
W
P
11/11
11
W
W
P
11/18
5
W
L
P
11/22
31
W
W
P
11/29
10
W
W
P
12/09
1
W
L
P
12/16
-4
L
L
P
12/22
7
W
L
P
WAS logo

Commanders

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/21
2
W
L
P
10/28
-45
L
L
P
11/04
3
W
L
P
11/11
-8
L
L
P
11/18
-5
L
W
P
11/25
-6
L
L
P
12/02
-1
L
L
P
12/06
8
W
W
P
12/16
12
W
W
P
12/23
11
W
W
P