DALCowboys
-
20
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
75°F
11 mph
24
PHIEagles
-
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
75°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
13
0
0
20
Eagles
7
14
3
0
24
Spread
+8.5
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
307
302
Total Plays
56
62
Yards / Play
5.5
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.21
Passing Yards
--
144
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
19/23(83%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.07
Rushing Yards
119
158
Rush Attempts
22
38
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.03
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
9
6
Rushing 1st downs
7
14
Penalty 1st downs
6
--
3rd Down %
64%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.76
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-8
Sack EPA
--
-2.04
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
42
110
Penalty EPA
-3.93
-8.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-8.5
Current
-8.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model76.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+173
Home nfelo
1,626
Away nfelo
1,472
Home Field
+27.8
Base HFA
+38.6
Divisional Adj
-17.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.5
Time Adj
-6.9
Net QB Adjustment
-8.9
Home QB Adjustment
+3.1
Away QB Adjustment
+12.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
207.9
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+1.9
Team Elo Adj
+12.0
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
+3.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
8
Yards / Game
3
18
Passing Yards / Game
9
22
Rushing Yards / Game
12
19
EPA
EPA / Play
3
9
EPA / Pass
8
6
EPA / Rush
8
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
11
Interceptions / Game
22
18
Fumbles / Game
15
19
Turnover EPA / Game
18
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
20
4th Down Efficiency
13
3
RZ Efficiency
13
3
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
31
Yards / Game
25
31
Passing Yards / Game
23
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
28
EPA
EPA / Play
18
31
EPA / Pass
12
30
EPA / Rush
22
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
26
Interceptions / Game
1
26
Fumbles / Game
6
24
Turnover EPA / Game
31
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
32
4th Down Efficiency
8
5
RZ Efficiency
1
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U