DALCowboys
2-5
9
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
49°F
17 mph
23
PHIEagles
2-4
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
49°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
6
0
0
9
Eagles
7
0
8
0
15
Spread
-10
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
224
Total Plays
79
60
Yards / Play
3.4
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.34
-0.24
Passing Yards
132
105
Comp/Att
21/40(53%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
3.6
EPA / Pass
-0.63
-0.51
Rushing Yards
133
119
Rush Attempts
35
27
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
10
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
25%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
8
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-16.16
-15.44
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-48
-29
Sack EPA
-19.70
-10.75
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
68
28
Penalty EPA
-6.21
-3.03
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+196
Home nfelo
1,478
Away nfelo
1,476
Home Field
+4.5
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+189.7
Home QB Adjustment
-6.6
Away QB Adjustment
-196.3
Market Regression
+87.1
Final Difference
235.4
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
B. DiNucci
Proj. Value
-6.3
Team Elo Adj
-196.3
No recent game data available
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-6.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
20
Yards / Game
13
17
Passing Yards / Game
4
29
Rushing Yards / Game
17
22
EPA
EPA / Play
24
12
EPA / Pass
25
15
EPA / Rush
18
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
1
Interceptions / Game
17
29
Fumbles / Game
31
6
Turnover EPA / Game
4
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
8
4th Down Efficiency
22
3
RZ Efficiency
29
28
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
28
Yards / Game
25
23
Passing Yards / Game
23
16
Rushing Yards / Game
10
31
EPA
EPA / Play
29
21
EPA / Pass
31
18
EPA / Rush
14
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
7
Interceptions / Game
31
23
Fumbles / Game
23
2
Turnover EPA / Game
5
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
27
4th Down Efficiency
26
11
RZ Efficiency
13
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
4-5-1
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U