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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ eagles week 8, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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DAL logo
DALCowboys
2-5
9
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
49°F
17 mph
23
PHIEagles
2-4
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
49°F
17 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
6
0
0
9
Eagles
7
0
8
0
15

Spread

PHI logo
-10

Total

UNDER
43

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
265
224
Total Plays
79
60
Yards / Play
3.4
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.34
-0.24
Passing Yards
132
105
Comp/Att
21/40(53%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
3.6
EPA / Pass
-0.63
-0.51
Rushing Yards
133
119
Rush Attempts
35
27
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
10
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
25%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
8
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-16.16
-15.44
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-48
-29
Sack EPA
-19.70
-10.75
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
68
28
Penalty EPA
-6.21
-3.03

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0

Win Probability

Market79.5%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+198
Home nfelo
1,478
Away nfelo
1,474
Home Field
+4.5
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+189.7
Home QB Adjustment
-6.6
Away QB Adjustment
-196.3
Market Regression
+85.7
Final Difference
235.4
Model Spread
-10.0

Quarterbacks

B. DiNucci headshot

B. DiNucci

Proj. Value
-6.3
Team Elo Adj
-196.3
No recent game data available
C. Wentz headshot

C. Wentz

Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-6.6
Value
Ptile
12/22
6.1
87
12/29
0.4
55
01/05
-9.0
6
09/13
-9.9
3
09/20
-0.8
38
09/27
0.0
46
10/04
-0.3
44
10/11
-4.1
18
10/18
0.4
49
10/22
2.1
60

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Cowboys logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
17
20
Yards / Game
13
17
Passing Yards / Game
4
29
Rushing Yards / Game
17
22

EPA

EPA / Play
24
12
EPA / Pass
25
15
EPA / Rush
18
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
1
Interceptions / Game
17
29
Fumbles / Game
31
6
Turnover EPA / Game
4
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
8
4th Down Efficiency
22
3
RZ Efficiency
29
28
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Eagles logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
26
28
Yards / Game
25
23
Passing Yards / Game
23
16
Rushing Yards / Game
10
31

EPA

EPA / Play
29
21
EPA / Pass
31
18
EPA / Rush
14
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
7
Interceptions / Game
31
23
Fumbles / Game
23
2
Turnover EPA / Game
5
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
27
4th Down Efficiency
26
11
RZ Efficiency
13
20

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
23
W
W
O
12/22
-8
L
L
U
12/29
31
W
W
O
09/13
-3
L
L
U
09/20
1
W
L
O
09/27
-7
L
L
O
10/04
-11
L
L
O
10/11
3
W
L
O
10/19
-28
L
L
U
10/25
-22
L
L
U
PHI logo

Eagles

4-5-1
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/22
8
W
W
U
12/29
17
W
W
O
01/05
-8
L
L
U
09/13
-10
L
L
O
09/20
-18
L
L
O
09/27
0
T
L
U
10/04
5
W
W
U
10/11
-9
L
L
O
10/18
-2
L
W
O
10/22
1
W
L
U