DALCowboys
3-5
38
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
63°F
7 mph
23
PHIEagles
3-5
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
63°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
3
7
3
20
Eagles
7
0
10
6
23
Spread
-2.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
294
369
Total Plays
54
66
Yards / Play
5.4
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.18
Passing Yards
193
278
Comp/Att
19/26(73%)
28/41(68%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.18
Rushing Yards
101
91
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
23
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
6
3rd Down %
38%
10%
3rd Down Conversions
5
1
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-15.22
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-16
-11
Sack EPA
-3.92
-8.82
Penalties
13
6
Penalty Yards
75
50
Penalty EPA
-9.71
-4.12
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
+2.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model50.7%
Spread Pick
Eagles+2.5
Expected Value
+2.6%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+28
Home nfelo
1,533
Away nfelo
1,537
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-12.8
Home QB Adjustment
-10.7
Away QB Adjustment
+2.1
Market Regression
-33.9
Final Difference
-4.7
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+2.1
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-10.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
29
Yards / Game
8
14
Passing Yards / Game
1
3
Rushing Yards / Game
31
21
EPA
EPA / Play
13
29
EPA / Pass
10
31
EPA / Rush
24
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
5
Interceptions / Game
28
30
Fumbles / Game
19
26
Turnover EPA / Game
9
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
27
4th Down Efficiency
1
1
RZ Efficiency
20
19
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
24
Yards / Game
17
18
Passing Yards / Game
6
16
Rushing Yards / Game
13
20
EPA
EPA / Play
27
25
EPA / Pass
24
28
EPA / Rush
27
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
15
Interceptions / Game
14
31
Fumbles / Game
32
22
Turnover EPA / Game
1
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
23
4th Down Efficiency
10
22
RZ Efficiency
29
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
3-6-1
O/U