DALCowboys
5-10
14
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
10 mph
13
PHIEagles
10-5
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
1
0
7
8
Eagles
0
7
0
6
13
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
272
244
Total Plays
63
69
Yards / Play
4.3
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.18
Passing Yards
113
123
Comp/Att
11/27(41%)
18/36(50%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
3.4
EPA / Pass
-0.34
-0.47
Rushing Yards
159
121
Rush Attempts
34
28
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
14
Passing 1st downs
5
6
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
31%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
16
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
5
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-9.58
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-14
-39
Sack EPA
-2.61
-10.18
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
45
40
Penalty EPA
-7.23
-2.70
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
+2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model45.0%
Spread Pick
Eagles+2.5
Expected Value
+12.4%
Cover Probability
58.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+121
Home nfelo
1,584
Away nfelo
1,547
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+39.2
Home QB Adjustment
-57.9
Away QB Adjustment
-97.1
Market Regression
-23.8
Final Difference
34.8
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
S. McGee
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-97.1
No recent game data available
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-57.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
21
Yards / Game
8
12
Passing Yards / Game
21
23
Rushing Yards / Game
15
15
EPA
EPA / Play
18
24
EPA / Pass
15
23
EPA / Rush
8
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
4
Interceptions / Game
21
3
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
8
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
21
4th Down Efficiency
9
9
RZ Efficiency
8
32
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
31
Yards / Game
2
23
Passing Yards / Game
3
19
Rushing Yards / Game
5
11
EPA
EPA / Play
5
26
EPA / Pass
11
27
EPA / Rush
1
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
22
Interceptions / Game
12
6
Fumbles / Game
20
14
Turnover EPA / Game
25
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
22
4th Down Efficiency
1
12
RZ Efficiency
15
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
10-0
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
8-2
O/U