DALCowboys
11-5
51
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
31°F
8 mph
26
PHIEagles
9-7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
31°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
10
20
0
21
51
Eagles
7
10
3
6
26
Spread
-6.5
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
475
315
Total Plays
61
71
Yards / Play
7.8
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.57
+0.06
Passing Yards
304
166
Comp/Att
22/28(79%)
20/35(57%)
Yards / Pass
10.9
4.7
EPA / Pass
+0.93
+0.05
Rushing Yards
171
149
Rush Attempts
32
33
Yards / Rush
5.3
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.36
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
22
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
62%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
8
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
18
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
5
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.41
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-1
-22
Sack EPA
-0.84
-3.52
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
44
30
Penalty EPA
-5.12
-2.42
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model68.1%
Spread Pick
Eagles+6.5
Expected Value
+1.4%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-103
Home nfelo
1,552
Away nfelo
1,661
Home Field
+13.4
Base HFA
+36.2
Divisional Adj
-16.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-6.5
Net QB Adjustment
-7.3
Home QB Adjustment
-8.6
Away QB Adjustment
-1.4
Market Regression
+9.9
Final Difference
-132.0
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
-1.4
G. Minshew
Proj. Value
-1.6
Team Elo Adj
-8.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
19
Yards / Game
2
10
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
9
9
EPA
EPA / Play
6
18
EPA / Pass
4
23
EPA / Rush
20
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
26
Interceptions / Game
7
21
Fumbles / Game
12
31
Turnover EPA / Game
20
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
23
4th Down Efficiency
12
9
RZ Efficiency
5
29
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
8
Yards / Game
13
18
Passing Yards / Game
17
9
Rushing Yards / Game
1
20
EPA
EPA / Play
10
2
EPA / Pass
14
1
EPA / Rush
3
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
20
Interceptions / Game
7
1
Fumbles / Game
4
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
2
4th Down Efficiency
25
25
RZ Efficiency
8
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
2-8
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
7-3
O/U