DALCowboys
2-3
20
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
14 mph
27
NYGGiants
3-3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
10
0
7
20
Giants
0
10
4
7
21
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
460
289
Total Plays
69
51
Yards / Play
6.7
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.18
Passing Yards
227
157
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
13/24(54%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.30
-0.01
Rushing Yards
233
132
Rush Attempts
41
25
Yards / Rush
5.7
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.30
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
13
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
14
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
55%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-16.00
+3.99
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
--
-13
Sack EPA
-0.38
-3.45
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
46
--
Penalty EPA
-6.37
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+30
Home nfelo
1,460
Away nfelo
1,540
Home Field
-25.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+135.4
Home QB Adjustment
+18.9
Away QB Adjustment
-116.5
Market Regression
-13.5
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
M. Cassel
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-116.5
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
30
Yards / Game
23
32
Passing Yards / Game
27
13
Rushing Yards / Game
8
24
EPA
EPA / Play
25
31
EPA / Pass
31
25
EPA / Rush
5
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
28
Interceptions / Game
32
10
Fumbles / Game
21
9
Turnover EPA / Game
1
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
16
Yards / Game
6
16
Passing Yards / Game
29
14
Rushing Yards / Game
18
22
EPA
EPA / Play
7
26
EPA / Pass
10
21
EPA / Rush
21
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
21
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
9
32
Turnover EPA / Game
14
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
17
4th Down Efficiency
8
17
RZ Efficiency
29
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Giants
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U