DALCowboys
11-1
7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
32°F
010
NYGGiants
8-4
TBD
MetLife Stadium
32°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
0
0
0
7
Giants
0
0
10
0
10
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
260
260
Total Plays
65
64
Yards / Play
4.0
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.44
-0.41
Passing Yards
152
167
Comp/Att
17/37(46%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.69
-0.43
Rushing Yards
108
93
Rush Attempts
25
33
Yards / Rush
4.3
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.44
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
12
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
7%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
1
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
NaN%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
--
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-10.02
-16.11
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-13
-26
Sack EPA
-4.53
-14.19
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
54
50
Penalty EPA
-2.93
-6.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-77
Home nfelo
1,527
Away nfelo
1,583
Home Field
+21.1
Base HFA
+57.1
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-10.2
Net QB Adjustment
-42.1
Home QB Adjustment
-4.1
Away QB Adjustment
+37.9
Market Regression
-23.4
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+37.9
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-4.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
4
Yards / Game
5
13
Passing Yards / Game
20
15
Rushing Yards / Game
2
2
EPA
EPA / Play
4
7
EPA / Pass
4
6
EPA / Rush
2
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
30
Interceptions / Game
4
8
Fumbles / Game
21
19
Turnover EPA / Game
24
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
3
4th Down Efficiency
1
15
RZ Efficiency
6
1
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
8
Yards / Game
23
16
Passing Yards / Game
24
26
Rushing Yards / Game
29
1
EPA
EPA / Play
28
15
EPA / Pass
24
20
EPA / Rush
29
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
24
Interceptions / Game
21
26
Fumbles / Game
23
14
Turnover EPA / Game
14
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
17
4th Down Efficiency
14
23
RZ Efficiency
19
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
10-0
SU
8-2
ATS
4-6
O/U
Giants
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U