DALCowboys
6-6
30
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
11 mph
10
NYGGiants
2-10
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
7
0
20
30
Giants
0
10
0
0
10
Spread
-4
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
454
330
Total Plays
61
75
Yards / Play
7.4
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.18
-0.19
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
20/30(67%)
31/46(67%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.56
-0.19
Rushing Yards
122
102
Rush Attempts
31
29
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
50%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.99
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
51
69
Penalty EPA
-5.01
-5.77
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model65.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-43
Home nfelo
1,399
Away nfelo
1,481
Home Field
+40.9
Base HFA
+56.2
Divisional Adj
-25.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.1
Net QB Adjustment
-2.1
Home QB Adjustment
-13.4
Away QB Adjustment
-11.3
Market Regression
-17.5
Final Difference
-109.1
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
-11.3
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-13.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
27
Yards / Game
14
31
Passing Yards / Game
27
7
Rushing Yards / Game
2
26
EPA
EPA / Play
10
18
EPA / Pass
19
21
EPA / Rush
1
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
19
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
13
23
Turnover EPA / Game
19
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
21
4th Down Efficiency
11
4
RZ Efficiency
7
18
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
9
Yards / Game
22
6
Passing Yards / Game
32
1
Rushing Yards / Game
26
8
EPA
EPA / Play
32
16
EPA / Pass
27
20
EPA / Rush
27
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
22
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
16
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
29
4th Down Efficiency
25
6
RZ Efficiency
24
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U