DALCowboys
9-4
21
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
8 mph
6
NYGGiants
4-9
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
6
9
6
0
21
Giants
3
0
3
0
6
Spread
-12
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
328
302
Total Plays
70
61
Yards / Play
4.7
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.31
Passing Yards
203
178
Comp/Att
28/37(76%)
19/36(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.42
Rushing Yards
125
124
Rush Attempts
30
24
Yards / Rush
4.2
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
15
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
57%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
40%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.00
-15.61
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-14
-3
Sack EPA
-8.07
-0.69
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
45
34
Penalty EPA
-9.01
-4.03
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-11.5
Current
-12.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market83.8%
Model79.8%
Spread Pick
Giants+12.0
Expected Value
+15.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-201
Home nfelo
1,394
Away nfelo
1,621
Home Field
+27.0
Base HFA
+37.1
Divisional Adj
-16.7
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+6.7
Net QB Adjustment
-0.6
Home QB Adjustment
-11.9
Away QB Adjustment
-11.3
Market Regression
-1.6
Final Difference
-239.1
Model Spread
+10.0
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
-11.3
M. Glennon
Proj. Value
-4.4
Team Elo Adj
-11.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
23
Yards / Game
2
21
Passing Yards / Game
7
17
Rushing Yards / Game
9
25
EPA
EPA / Play
6
20
EPA / Pass
4
19
EPA / Rush
20
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
16
Interceptions / Game
7
13
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
17
4th Down Efficiency
12
29
RZ Efficiency
5
5
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
8
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
32
9
Rushing Yards / Game
23
20
EPA
EPA / Play
31
2
EPA / Pass
31
1
EPA / Rush
24
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
20
Interceptions / Game
29
1
Fumbles / Game
25
9
Turnover EPA / Game
2
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
2
4th Down Efficiency
26
25
RZ Efficiency
32
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U