DALCowboys
2-3
19
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
62°F
8 mph
14
CARPanthers
1-4
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
62°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
3
10
6
19
Panthers
0
7
0
7
14
Spread
-2.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
312
328
Total Plays
65
60
Yards / Play
4.8
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.06
Passing Yards
--
216
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
21/37(57%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.19
-0.13
Rushing Yards
85
112
Rush Attempts
31
21
Yards / Rush
2.7
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.16
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
43%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-2.55
-5.55
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-17
Sack EPA
--
-1.98
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
43
71
Penalty EPA
-6.50
-4.62
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model48.5%
Spread Pick
Panthers+2.5
Expected Value
+2.8%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+58
Home nfelo
1,457
Away nfelo
1,516
Home Field
+113.4
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+3.6
Home QB Adjustment
+2.3
Away QB Adjustment
-1.4
Market Regression
-14.4
Final Difference
10.2
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
-1.4
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
18
Yards / Game
8
10
Passing Yards / Game
1
21
Rushing Yards / Game
31
13
EPA
EPA / Play
13
22
EPA / Pass
10
16
EPA / Rush
24
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
15
Interceptions / Game
28
23
Fumbles / Game
19
3
Turnover EPA / Game
9
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
7
4th Down Efficiency
1
20
RZ Efficiency
20
18
Panthers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
24
Yards / Game
13
18
Passing Yards / Game
11
16
Rushing Yards / Game
9
20
EPA
EPA / Play
12
25
EPA / Pass
11
28
EPA / Rush
6
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
15
Interceptions / Game
7
31
Fumbles / Game
7
22
Turnover EPA / Game
25
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
23
4th Down Efficiency
27
22
RZ Efficiency
10
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U