DALCowboys
7-6
20
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
57°F
4 mph
17
OAKRaiders
6-7
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
57°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
7
7
3
20
Raiders
0
0
10
7
17
Spread
3
P
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
330
293
Total Plays
60
61
Yards / Play
5.5
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.02
Passing Yards
204
--
Comp/Att
18/27(67%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.04
+0.06
Rushing Yards
126
122
Rush Attempts
31
23
Yards / Rush
4.1
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
19
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
20%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-7.62
-4.17
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-2.35
--
Penalties
7
14
Penalty Yards
100
105
Penalty EPA
-9.68
-14.64
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model50.6%
Spread Pick
Raiders+3.0
Expected Value
+8.9%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+54
Home nfelo
1,464
Away nfelo
1,504
Home Field
+95.0
Base HFA
+55.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.4
Time Adj
+19.9
Net QB Adjustment
-0.9
Home QB Adjustment
-2.0
Away QB Adjustment
-1.1
Market Regression
-12.1
Final Difference
-3.8
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
-1.1
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-2.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
20
Yards / Game
14
24
Passing Yards / Game
27
23
Rushing Yards / Game
2
11
EPA
EPA / Play
10
31
EPA / Pass
19
31
EPA / Rush
1
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
30
Interceptions / Game
17
32
Fumbles / Game
13
18
Turnover EPA / Game
19
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
25
4th Down Efficiency
11
30
RZ Efficiency
7
8
Raiders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
9
Yards / Game
18
6
Passing Yards / Game
30
1
Rushing Yards / Game
25
8
EPA
EPA / Play
15
16
EPA / Pass
16
20
EPA / Rush
22
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
22
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
13
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
29
4th Down Efficiency
27
6
RZ Efficiency
8
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
2-7-1
ATS
4-6
O/U