DALCowboys
-
17
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
020
LARRams
-
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
14
3
0
17
Rams
7
6
7
0
20
Spread
0
Total
UNDER
52
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
380
422
Total Plays
69
72
Yards / Play
5.5
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.04
Passing Yards
244
269
Comp/Att
25/39(64%)
20/31(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.16
Rushing Yards
136
153
Rush Attempts
27
40
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.14
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
23
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
9
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
25%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
50%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.15
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-22
-6
Sack EPA
-5.59
-1.97
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
50
34
Penalty EPA
-2.71
-4.67
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-5
Home nfelo
1,548
Away nfelo
1,558
Home Field
+8.5
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+2.3
Net QB Adjustment
-2.8
Home QB Adjustment
+3.4
Away QB Adjustment
+6.2
Market Regression
+32.8
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+6.2
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.1
Team Elo Adj
+3.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
2
Yards / Game
13
1
Passing Yards / Game
4
3
Rushing Yards / Game
17
4
EPA
EPA / Play
24
1
EPA / Pass
25
1
EPA / Rush
18
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
23
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
31
16
Turnover EPA / Game
4
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
4
4th Down Efficiency
22
7
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Rams Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
28
Yards / Game
17
23
Passing Yards / Game
16
16
Rushing Yards / Game
11
31
EPA
EPA / Play
26
21
EPA / Pass
20
18
EPA / Rush
24
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
7
Interceptions / Game
16
23
Fumbles / Game
19
2
Turnover EPA / Game
9
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
27
4th Down Efficiency
28
11
RZ Efficiency
18
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U