DALCowboys
1-0
7
TBD
Lumen Field
68°F
4 mph
27
SEASeahawks
0-1
TBD
Lumen Field
68°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
7
0
0
7
Seahawks
4
3
7
7
21
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
296
315
Total Plays
57
63
Yards / Play
5.2
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.12
Passing Yards
247
133
Comp/Att
23/40(57%)
15/20(75%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.04
+0.29
Rushing Yards
49
182
Rush Attempts
16
41
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.10
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
54%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
NaN%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
--
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.94
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-4
-18
Sack EPA
-1.33
-0.48
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
47
--
Penalty EPA
-5.75
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-42
Home nfelo
1,443
Away nfelo
1,530
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-17.0
Home QB Adjustment
-6.2
Away QB Adjustment
+10.8
Market Regression
-22.1
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+10.8
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-6.2
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
1
Yards / Game
8
3
Passing Yards / Game
1
2
Rushing Yards / Game
31
11
EPA
EPA / Play
13
5
EPA / Pass
10
5
EPA / Rush
24
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
18
Interceptions / Game
28
6
Fumbles / Game
19
19
Turnover EPA / Game
9
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
21
4th Down Efficiency
1
2
RZ Efficiency
20
6
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
24
Yards / Game
14
18
Passing Yards / Game
23
16
Rushing Yards / Game
4
20
EPA
EPA / Play
2
25
EPA / Pass
4
28
EPA / Rush
5
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
15
Interceptions / Game
5
31
Fumbles / Game
22
22
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
23
4th Down Efficiency
12
22
RZ Efficiency
15
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U