MIADolphins
6-3
34
TBD
New Era Field
58°F
18 mph
27
BUFBills
1-8
TBD
New Era Field
58°F
18 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
7
3
0
24
34
Bills
7
7
7
6
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
362
422
Total Plays
64
64
Yards / Play
5.7
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.21
+0.08
Passing Yards
261
295
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
8.7
EPA / Pass
+0.26
+0.17
Rushing Yards
101
127
Rush Attempts
30
26
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
33%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-2.09
-8.38
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-16
-14
Sack EPA
-2.71
-1.30
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
62
71
Penalty EPA
-5.89
-5.93
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
29
Yards / Game
25
20
Passing Yards / Game
26
3
Rushing Yards / Game
25
26
EPA
EPA / Play
13
29
EPA / Pass
12
17
EPA / Rush
13
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
8
Interceptions / Game
17
29
Fumbles / Game
31
29
Turnover EPA / Game
7
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
28
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
13
24
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
10
Yards / Game
13
6
Passing Yards / Game
11
5
Rushing Yards / Game
23
20
EPA
EPA / Play
23
12
EPA / Pass
21
12
EPA / Rush
16
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
24
Interceptions / Game
20
17
Fumbles / Game
20
9
Turnover EPA / Game
8
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
14
4th Down Efficiency
10
13
RZ Efficiency
16
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U