MIADolphins
8-3
33
TBD
New Era Field
27°F
6 mph
6
BUFBills
7-4
TBD
New Era Field
27°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
7
17
6
3
33
Bills
0
0
0
6
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
333
196
Total Plays
56
59
Yards / Play
5.9
3.3
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.72
Passing Yards
200
36
Comp/Att
13/21(62%)
8/27(30%)
Yards / Pass
9.5
1.3
EPA / Pass
+0.77
-1.01
Rushing Yards
133
160
Rush Attempts
37
27
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.9
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
14
Passing 1st downs
10
4
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
43%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
43%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
7
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.05
-11.16
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-14
-39
Sack EPA
-2.47
-6.14
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
86
30
Penalty EPA
+7.77
-1.66
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
22
Yards / Game
23
4
Passing Yards / Game
24
7
Rushing Yards / Game
13
6
EPA
EPA / Play
21
19
EPA / Pass
16
12
EPA / Rush
20
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
3
Interceptions / Game
24
17
Fumbles / Game
8
11
Turnover EPA / Game
17
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
12
4th Down Efficiency
12
23
RZ Efficiency
6
12
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
5
Yards / Game
8
6
Passing Yards / Game
6
6
Rushing Yards / Game
10
16
EPA
EPA / Play
24
4
EPA / Pass
13
6
EPA / Rush
23
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
26
Interceptions / Game
1
2
Fumbles / Game
11
22
Turnover EPA / Game
31
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
5
4th Down Efficiency
2
14
RZ Efficiency
17
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U