MIADolphins
4-1
24
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
58°F
3 mph
22
DENBroncos
4-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
58°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
7
0
11
18
Broncos
6
3
3
10
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
259
410
Total Plays
53
75
Yards / Play
4.9
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.07
Passing Yards
201
299
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
27/46(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.14
Rushing Yards
58
111
Rush Attempts
23
26
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
27
Passing 1st downs
11
16
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
5
3rd Down %
45%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.87
-16.89
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-9
-36
Sack EPA
-4.63
-4.92
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
42
70
Penalty EPA
-5.85
-8.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
14
Yards / Game
15
6
Passing Yards / Game
25
22
Rushing Yards / Game
2
4
EPA
EPA / Play
7
22
EPA / Pass
16
20
EPA / Rush
9
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
5
Interceptions / Game
12
30
Fumbles / Game
27
17
Turnover EPA / Game
17
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
28
4th Down Efficiency
31
15
RZ Efficiency
2
30
Broncos Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
4
Yards / Game
3
3
Passing Yards / Game
3
5
Rushing Yards / Game
5
5
EPA
EPA / Play
4
9
EPA / Pass
9
4
EPA / Rush
4
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
26
Interceptions / Game
23
5
Fumbles / Game
5
30
Turnover EPA / Game
14
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
4
4th Down Efficiency
4
1
RZ Efficiency
7
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U