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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. dolphins @ buccaneers week 6, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIA logo
MIADolphins
2-2
13
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
9 mph
27
TBBuccaneers
4-1
TB logo
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
9 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
3
0
3
7
13
Buccaneers
10
0
11
0
21

Game Statistics

General
Dolphins logo
Buccaneers logo
Total Yards
307
342
Total Plays
65
63
Yards / Play
4.7
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.21
-0.04
Passing Yards
243
162
Comp/Att
21/43(49%)
18/26(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.30
Rushing Yards
64
180
Rush Attempts
18
34
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
Dolphins logo
Buccaneers logo
1st Downs
13
15
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
21%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Dolphins logo
Buccaneers logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-12.97
-4.58
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-24
-27
Sack EPA
-14.79
-4.46
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
60
65
Penalty EPA
-3.74
-6.44

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Dolphins logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
16
7
Yards / Game
13
1
Passing Yards / Game
27
15
Rushing Yards / Game
11
5

EPA

EPA / Play
12
3
EPA / Pass
18
5
EPA / Rush
13
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
14
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
30
18
Turnover EPA / Game
24
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
7
4th Down Efficiency
22
13
RZ Efficiency
26
13
Buccaneers Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Buccaneers logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
22
14
Yards / Game
24
17
Passing Yards / Game
23
26
Rushing Yards / Game
15
16

EPA

EPA / Play
21
19
EPA / Pass
22
20
EPA / Rush
15
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
29
Interceptions / Game
13
23
Fumbles / Game
10
8
Turnover EPA / Game
8
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
24
4th Down Efficiency
17
15
RZ Efficiency
15
18

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIA logo

Dolphins

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/28
7
W
W
P
12/05
-10
L
L
P
12/12
-3
L
W
P
12/20
1
W
W
P
12/26
3
W
L
P
01/02
-7
L
W
P
09/11
24
W
W
P
09/18
-10
L
L
P
09/25
3
W
W
P
10/09
-6
L
L
P
TB logo

Buccaneers

5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/05
27
W
W
P
12/12
-7
L
L
P
12/19
-4
L
L
P
12/26
-17
L
L
P
01/02
-5
L
L
P
09/11
11
W
W
P
09/18
16
W
W
P
09/25
1
W
L
P
10/02
4
W
L
P
10/09
-2
L
L
P