MIADolphins
4-2
26
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
79°F
3 mph
10
LACChargers
1-5
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
79°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
10
14
0
0
24
Chargers
3
0
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
264
250
Total Plays
57
67
Yards / Play
4.6
3.7
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.22
Passing Yards
183
146
Comp/Att
20/29(69%)
19/30(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.53
Rushing Yards
81
104
Rush Attempts
27
31
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.24
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
50%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
60%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.94
-14.34
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-9
-44
Sack EPA
-1.97
-6.14
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
47
35
Penalty EPA
-6.71
-3.40
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
31
Yards / Game
24
27
Passing Yards / Game
12
24
Rushing Yards / Game
17
26
EPA
EPA / Play
21
32
EPA / Pass
22
28
EPA / Rush
20
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
21
Interceptions / Game
21
25
Fumbles / Game
28
31
Turnover EPA / Game
7
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
31
4th Down Efficiency
16
22
RZ Efficiency
15
32
Chargers Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
2
Yards / Game
16
8
Passing Yards / Game
25
22
Rushing Yards / Game
6
5
EPA
EPA / Play
12
3
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
4
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
19
Interceptions / Game
21
7
Fumbles / Game
23
8
Turnover EPA / Game
10
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
11
4th Down Efficiency
14
1
RZ Efficiency
22
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U