nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. dolphins @ chargers week 8, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

MIA logo
MIADolphins
4-2
26
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
79°F
3 mph
10
LACChargers
1-5
LAC logo
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
79°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
10
14
0
0
24
Chargers
3
0
0
7
10

Game Statistics

General
Dolphins logo
Chargers logo
Total Yards
264
250
Total Plays
57
67
Yards / Play
4.6
3.7
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.22
Passing Yards
183
146
Comp/Att
20/29(69%)
19/30(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.53
Rushing Yards
81
104
Rush Attempts
27
31
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.24
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
Dolphins logo
Chargers logo
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
50%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
60%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Dolphins logo
Chargers logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.94
-14.34
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-9
-44
Sack EPA
-1.97
-6.14
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
47
35
Penalty EPA
-6.71
-3.40

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Chargers Defense
Dolphins logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
17
31
Yards / Game
24
27
Passing Yards / Game
12
24
Rushing Yards / Game
17
26

EPA

EPA / Play
21
32
EPA / Pass
22
28
EPA / Rush
20
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
21
Interceptions / Game
21
25
Fumbles / Game
28
31
Turnover EPA / Game
7
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
31
4th Down Efficiency
16
22
RZ Efficiency
15
32
Chargers Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Chargers logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
16
2
Yards / Game
16
8
Passing Yards / Game
25
22
Rushing Yards / Game
6
5

EPA

EPA / Play
12
3
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
4
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
19
Interceptions / Game
21
7
Fumbles / Game
23
8
Turnover EPA / Game
10
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
11
4th Down Efficiency
14
1
RZ Efficiency
22
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIA logo

Dolphins

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/09
18
W
W
P
12/15
6
W
W
P
12/21
-3
L
L
P
12/29
-3
L
L
P
09/07
-1
L
L
P
09/14
11
W
W
P
09/21
10
W
W
P
10/05
13
W
W
P
10/12
14
W
W
P
10/19
-6
L
L
P
LAC logo

Chargers

1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/08
-20
L
L
P
12/15
-7
L
L
P
12/22
-2
L
L
P
12/29
-3
L
L
P
09/07
-13
L
L
P
09/14
-24
L
L
P
09/21
-14
L
L
P
09/28
-3
L
W
P
10/05
-6
L
L
P
10/19
6
W
W
P