MIADolphins
9-5
38
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
10°F
20 mph
31
KCChiefs
2-12
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
10°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
10
14
7
7
38
Chiefs
7
21
3
0
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
492
Total Plays
64
65
Yards / Play
6.3
7.6
EPA / Play
+0.26
+0.09
Passing Yards
--
312
Comp/Att
26/34(76%)
20/41(49%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.40
-0.03
Rushing Yards
168
180
Rush Attempts
30
21
Yards / Rush
5.6
8.6
EPA / Rush
-0.10
+0.45
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
23
Passing 1st downs
15
11
Rushing 1st downs
9
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
64%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
8
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.92
-18.66
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-8
Sack EPA
--
-4.40
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
--
46
Penalty EPA
--
-5.91
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
29
Yards / Game
14
31
Passing Yards / Game
8
1
Rushing Yards / Game
15
30
EPA
EPA / Play
11
30
EPA / Pass
6
26
EPA / Rush
20
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
12
Interceptions / Game
3
18
Fumbles / Game
7
4
Turnover EPA / Game
30
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
32
4th Down Efficiency
5
7
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Chiefs Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
10
Yards / Game
24
14
Passing Yards / Game
10
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
12
EPA
EPA / Play
23
24
EPA / Pass
22
14
EPA / Rush
12
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
24
Interceptions / Game
20
10
Fumbles / Game
12
14
Turnover EPA / Game
15
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
12
4th Down Efficiency
29
21
RZ Efficiency
10
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U