MIA logo
MIA
-
ATL
-
ATL logo
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIAFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Falcons Defense
Dolphins logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
21
14
Yards / Game
26
2
Passing Yards / Game
30
6
Rushing Yards / Game
27
15

EPA

EPA / Play
10
16
EPA / Pass
16
6
EPA / Rush
8
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
28
Interceptions / Game
24
8
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
12
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
10
4th Down Efficiency
22
29
RZ Efficiency
2
24
Falcons Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Falcons logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
25
26
Yards / Game
7
26
Passing Yards / Game
20
25
Rushing Yards / Game
7
30

EPA

EPA / Play
22
31
EPA / Pass
22
31
EPA / Rush
19
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
17
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
29
6
Turnover EPA / Game
18
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
31
4th Down Efficiency
22
28
RZ Efficiency
25
13

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIA logo

Dolphins

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/28
-13
L
L
U
12/08
6
W
L
O
12/15
-8
L
L
U
12/22
12
W
W
O
12/29
17
W
W
U
01/05
-12
L
L
O
09/07
-25
L
L
U
09/14
-6
L
L
O
09/18
-10
L
W
O
09/29
6
W
W
O
ATL logo

Falcons

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/01
-4
L
L
U
12/08
-21
L
L
O
12/16
6
W
L
U
12/22
27
W
W
U
12/29
-6
L
L
O
01/05
-6
L
L
O
09/07
-3
L
L
U
09/14
16
W
W
U
09/21
-30
L
L
U
09/28
7
W
W
O