MIADolphins
3-1
24
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
75°F
13 mph
10
JAXJaguars
1-4
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
75°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
10
0
0
8
18
Jaguars
0
3
7
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
234
332
Total Plays
52
76
Yards / Play
4.5
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.26
Passing Yards
143
244
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
24/42(57%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.00
-0.45
Rushing Yards
91
88
Rush Attempts
24
30
Yards / Rush
3.8
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
22
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
40%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
17
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-9.26
-21.56
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-4
-12
Sack EPA
-1.50
-6.42
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
149
50
Penalty EPA
-15.46
-6.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
16
Yards / Game
24
6
Passing Yards / Game
12
2
Rushing Yards / Game
17
2
EPA
EPA / Play
21
18
EPA / Pass
22
30
EPA / Rush
20
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
24
Interceptions / Game
21
15
Fumbles / Game
28
8
Turnover EPA / Game
7
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
30
4th Down Efficiency
16
20
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Jaguars Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
2
Yards / Game
12
8
Passing Yards / Game
13
22
Rushing Yards / Game
8
5
EPA
EPA / Play
18
3
EPA / Pass
16
6
EPA / Rush
12
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
19
Interceptions / Game
17
7
Fumbles / Game
19
8
Turnover EPA / Game
9
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
11
4th Down Efficiency
16
1
RZ Efficiency
25
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U