MIADolphins
5-3
10
TBD
Giants Stadium
65°F
10 mph
13
NYJJets
3-5
TBD
Giants Stadium
65°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
3
7
0
10
Jets
7
3
0
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
279
264
Total Plays
54
59
Yards / Play
5.2
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.05
Passing Yards
210
167
Comp/Att
19/28(68%)
17/27(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.28
+0.02
Rushing Yards
69
97
Rush Attempts
23
31
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.57
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
19
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
27%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.09
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-17
--
Sack EPA
-3.88
-0.61
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
30
36
Penalty EPA
-4.32
-2.57
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
9
Yards / Game
15
22
Passing Yards / Game
25
15
Rushing Yards / Game
2
17
EPA
EPA / Play
7
20
EPA / Pass
16
25
EPA / Rush
9
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
20
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
27
27
Turnover EPA / Game
17
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
27
4th Down Efficiency
31
23
RZ Efficiency
2
6
Jets Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
4
Yards / Game
23
3
Passing Yards / Game
13
5
Rushing Yards / Game
21
5
EPA
EPA / Play
3
9
EPA / Pass
4
4
EPA / Rush
13
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
26
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
9
30
Turnover EPA / Game
29
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
4
4th Down Efficiency
29
1
RZ Efficiency
3
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U